Sunrise, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

992
FXUS62 KMFL 220511
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
1211 AM EST Sun Dec 22 2024

...New AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 636 PM EST Sat Dec 21 2024

Main story through the overnight period will be the low
temperatures, with some uncertainty regarding the magnitude that
temperatures will drop. Latest HREF ensemble guidance indicates
that skies will be clearing overnight, with light northwesterly
flow remaining in place. In terms of wind chills, values in the
low to mid 40s can be expected across interior and southwest
Florida, while upper 40s/low 50s can be anticipated along the east
coast. For Miami- Dade county specifically, there is a lower-end
possibility (generally no greater than 20-25% chance) of wind
chills dropping below 50 degrees. While not entirely impossible,
this is generally unlikely to spread into densely urban portions
of the county (including downtown and Miami Beach).

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Sunday)
Issued at 1230 PM EST Sat Dec 21 2024

Building high pressure will allow drier, cooler air to persist
across the region. Deep-layered low pressure across the
northeastern United States and eastern Canada will progress north
and east through the weekend. As the surface high slides east
along the mid-Atlantic and northeastern U.S., our wind flow will
become more northeasterly by the end of Sunday.

Temperatures will fall into lower to mid 40s across inland
Southwest Florida, the upper 40s along coastal Southwest Florida,
and inland South Florida, and the lower to mid 50s in metro South
Florida. A moderating trend will help temperatures warm a few
degrees on Sunday with highs reaching into the lower to mid 70s
across the area. Wind chill values tonight into early Sunday
morning will dip into the upper 30s to lower 40s across Glades,
Hendry, and Collier Counties with mid 40s to lower 50s across much
of the rest of South Florida save for some higher values at the
warmer Atlantic coast. If the wind is a tad weaker than forecast
tonight, temperatures could be a degree or two lower but the wind
chill values will likely not drop too much as the wind will play
less of a factor in that calculation.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through next Friday)
Issued at 145 PM EST Sat Dec 21 2024

Strong surface high pressure builds into the northeast US next week,
which will bring back easterly flow and moderating temperatures. A
mid/upper level trough will enter the northern Gulf from the deep
south mid to late week. Ahead of this feature, increasing moisture
and W/SW flow is expected across South FL which will increase rain
chances through the remainder of the week. Forecast soundings next
week show fairly shallow moisture so thunder chances will remain
low. High and low temps next week will be generally right around
normal with highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s, and lows in the
50s/60s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1209 AM EST Sun Dec 22 2024

VFR conditions will prevail for the period. Winds generally NW
around 5 kt the rest of the night, becoming variable at times.
Winds then become NNE/NE around 5-10 kt through the day today.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1230 PM EST Sat Dec 21 2024

A moderate northerly breeze continues today, then gradually
veering to the east-northeast through early next week. Seas will
build to 4-6 feet over the Atlantic waters today, along with an
increase in winds. Gulf seas will build up to 3-4 feet during this time.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 1230 PM EST Sat Dec 21 2024

The risk of rip currents will remain elevated across the Palm
Beaches through the rest of the weekend due to lingering effects
from a northeasterly swell.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            75  63  77  66 /   0  10   0  10
West Kendall     76  59  79  62 /   0   0   0  10
Opa-Locka        76  62  79  65 /   0  10   0  10
Homestead        75  62  78  66 /   0  10   0  10
Fort Lauderdale  74  63  76  67 /   0  10   0  10
N Ft Lauderdale  75  63  76  66 /   0  10   0  10
Pembroke Pines   77  62  80  66 /   0  10   0  10
West Palm Beach  74  62  77  64 /  10  10  10  20
Boca Raton       75  62  78  66 /  10  10   0  20
Naples           72  57  77  60 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...RAG
LONG TERM....CMF
AVIATION...Redman